Without data Suspicious Observers If you ignore the data If Facts Alarm You

Key Concepts: Chapters 1-17

AP Test Resources: Last Minute AP Exam Review
Historical FR Questions Table of Past FR Topic of Past FR

5/16,17 B_Day 42) Amazing discoverys with inference for regression.
A42:
1) Finish both sides of the class investigation.
2) continue working on your final project.
FYI:
(Start 5:00 - Stop 8:52) Edwin Hubble, the Expanding Universe, Hubble's Law.
(Start 3:00 - Stop 5:00) Sky at Night - Quasars, Redshifts and Controversy - May 1988
Red Shift or Red Herring? (Primary Redshift Perspective)
The Most Unsettling Line in American Politics
(Start 11:40 - Stop 20:16) Princeton Professor Martin Gilens presentation at MIT. Also his
paper: Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens and a Rebuttal to the Paper

4/25,26 Day 33) Review linear regression t-interval and test. Determining the appropriate inference procedure. Review AP Exam resources and review for the Final Exam Th/Fri.
33A:
A) Check for understanding – Identify the appropriate inference procedure.
B) pg. 672-682 / 18, 20, 23. (18 - show all steps including A/C, 20&23 assume A/C OK)
C) Study for the Final Exam Th/Fri.  AP Exam style multiple choice and be able to name the
     appropriate inference procedure like we did today in class (but fill in the blank).

4/14,15 Day 32) Inference for Regression
32A:
A) Submit the completed class notes (pages 1 and 2)
B) pg. 672-682 / 2 (2a is slope), 8, 13(show A/C and all steps), 15.
     /* if you get stuck on #2 compare to the answers for #1 in the back of the book. */
C) Read Chapter 27

4/13 Wed Day 31) Correlation and Regression Review. Lead in to Inference for Regresseion.
31W: Wednesday Assignment 31
A) Complete the Edpuzzle and Inference Guide Regression columns 1 and 2
B) Complete the Correlation Regression Review (TI Calculator Tips Here)
(keep data in L1 and L2 - don't delete)

4/11,12 Day 30) More practice working with the three types of chi-square test.
30A:
A) Complete and submit the class notes.
B)  pg. 642-648 / 23, 24 (problem 23 think back to what we did at the beginning of the year. We tested for independence with segmented bar charts then with P(A) = P(A|B). Now the independence X2 test provides "wiggle room" to accommodate natural sampling variability.)
C) Complete the Edpuzzle.
D) Finish reading Chapter 26.

4/07,08 Day 29)Discover another chi-square test, homogeneity (and the associated TI shortcut - see below). Discover the 3rd chi-square test, independence (see class notes here). Complete the chi-square inference guide here.
Homogeneity - many groups asked 1 question (question = variable, answers = categories)
Independence - one group asked 2 questions.
29A:
A) Complete the Edpuzzle
B) Complete and submit the class notes.
C) pg. 642-648 / 28, 33, 35 (for all problems - show A/C, make a table showing observed and expected then use matrix and calculator shortcut to find the Chi-Squared value and p-value).

4/06 Day 28W) Chi-square Goodness of Fit continued, learn calculator short cut. Learn the importance of and how to calculate standardized residuals
28W:
A) Complete the Edpuzzle
B) pg. 642-648 / 9b,c (b assume A/Cs OK and use X2GOF to calculate the answer, for part c compare with the answer for 9a, 10 (Show all steps but use X2GOF instead of making a table)
C) Read Ch.26 p.618-625.

4/04,05 Day 27) Discover a test for an entire distribution rather than just one proportion.
27A:
A) Complete and submit class notes pages 1-4.
B) pg. 642-648 / 6, 8, 9a. (for 8 and 9a make the table like we did in class for skittles,
     also 9a if the ratio is 9:3:3:1 then 9x+3x+3x+1x=100)
C) Read Ch.26 p.618-625.

3/31,4/01 Day 26) Check for Understanding Chapters 18-25.
26A:
A) Complete the Group check for understanding. (Do it by yourself if you were absent.)
B) Complete the Ch.18-25 Check for Understanding Individual Assessment.

3/30 Wed. Day 24W) Matched Pairs Chapter 25 class example class notes
A24:
A) Turn in the completed class notes.
B) in class finish pg. 602-608 / 1 (make experimental design flow charts), 9, 11, 15 (conf. int.), 19 (hypothesis test).
C) Prepare for Ch.18-25 check for understanding Th/Fri., Read Chapter 25

3/28,29 Day 23) Review Ch18-22 Test. Finish Ch. 24 Comparing Means.
23A:

A) Study for small quiz on Th/Fri (Chapters 23-25 Days 21-24W)
B) pg. 579-586 / 20, 22, 31, 34. (show A/C and explain why you must stop on 22!) (for #31 don't stop! and calculate the p-value with and without the outlier) (others assume A/C met) Stinger Tees

3/24,25 Day 22) Comparing means. "To pool or not to pool" and technology to the rescue for a wicked degrees of freedom calculation.
22A:

A) Submit the completed class notes, pages 1 and 2.
B) pg. 554-559 / 15, pg. 579-586 / 13 (show all steps).
C) read Chapter 24

3/23 Day 21W) Quantitative Data, Inference for Means continued.
View Example 1 from the class notes. Use the table to find the t distribution crutical values.
21W: 
A)
 Submit the completed class notes, pages 1 and 2. (Due Wed in class)
Finish 21A_B) pg. 554-559 / 1, 5, 9, 13a (just verify the A/Cs), 31 (show all steps – conf. int.), 40 (show all steps - hypothesis test). (Due Wed/Th night)
C) Finish Reading Chapter 23
FYI:
Angry Customers Sue Starbucks for Failing to Fill Their Lattes

3/21,22 Day 21) Quantitative Data, Inference for Means, and the t distribution.
Click here for another explaination of the Nearly Normal Condition.
21A: 
A) complete the Edpuzzle introduction to inference for quantitative data.
B) pg. 554-559 / 1, 5, 9, 13a (just verify the A/Cs), 31 (show all steps – conf. int.), 40 (show all steps - hypothesis test). (Due Wed/Th night)
C) Read Chapter 23
FYI: Gosset's Original Student's T article The Probable Error of a Mean and summary
Fisher's Applications of Student's Distribution
explaination of degrees of freedom: Degrees of freedom, df, is simply an index of the amount of random variability, mere chance coincidence, that can be present in a particular situation. Its closest literal translation would be something along the line of "degrees of arbitrariness."

03/16,17 Day 20) BIG Part V Test
20A:
A) Relax.

03/14,15 Day 19) Review for Part 5 Test (Thursday/Friday).
19A:
A) Complete and submit the class handout - fill in the blanks.
B) pg. 522 / 30 (show all steps). pg. 523-528 / (assume A/C OK) 21, 23, 34, 37, 38.
C) Study for the BIG Part V Test next class! (Days 7-19, reivew notes, assignments, inference guide, and the flashcard list)
Remeber: Conclusions for Hypothesis Tests should be 2 sentences:
1st - P-value is __high / low__ therefore we __fail to reject / reject__ the null hypothesis.
2nd - There __isn't / is __ evidence ___(...in context of alternative hypothesis)___.

03/10,11 Day 18) Begin reviewing for Part 5 Test (Wednesday/Thursday). Should you intentionally walk Barry Bonds? Perfect Pitch.
18A:
A) Complete Edpuzzle (check for understanding).
B) pg. 523-528 / BB, 22, 5, 11, 32(part a - assume A/C OK).
C) BIG Part 5 Test next Th/Fri
FYI: Perfect Pitch Example for problem 22 and explanation UCSD, SciAmer.

03/09 Day 17W) Finish discussion about the difference of two proportions. Trustworthy data, science, analysis, and reporting will lead to actionable information to solve problems.
17W:
Time to finish 17A_B book problems.

03/07,08 Day 17) Chapter 22 - The difference of two proportions.
17A:
A) Complete and submit the class notes.
B) pg. 519-522 / 8 (8d sketch the entire model with empirical rule), 11, 18, 20, 24 (Show A/C for 11b, 18c, and 24a).
C) Finalize iInference guide for proportions.
Enrichment - extension of problem 11 pets and pesticides - UC Davis investigates autism and pesticides. Link 1, Link 2

03/03,04 Day 16) Skills Check Chapters 18-21
16A:
A) Complete the skills check in Schoology. Work by yourself without notes. Once finished, study what you missed and try again.

03/02 Day 15W) Review Chapter 21
15W:
15A_B) pg. 499-503 / 22, 24, 25, 28 (due Wednesday at the end of class)
15A_C) Complete the Edpuzzle (due Wednesday night)
D) Finish reading Ch.21 and prepare for Skills Check on Th/Fri.

02/28, 03/01 Day 15) Explore interactions between Type I &Type II errors, Power, Effect Size, and Sample Size.
15A:
A) complete and submit the class notes (except the last 2 boxes)
B) pg. 499-503 / 22, 24, 25, 28 (due Wednesday at the end of class)
C) Complete the Edpuzzle (due Wednesday night)
D) Finish reading Ch.21 and prepare for Skills Check on Th/Fri.
Enrichment:
http://www.intuitor.com/statistics/T1T2Errors.html
http://www.rossmanchance.com/applets/Power/Power.html

02/17,18 Day 14) Alpha Level, when is our sample proportion beyond a reasonable doubth (beyond the expectation of natural sampling variability). Outcomes and errors of hypothesis tests.
14A:
A) complete and submit the class notes
B) complete and submit pg. 499-503 / 3, 5, 20, 21.
C) read Ch.21 up to page 493.
14D Outcomes

02/16 Day 13W) Review the Ch. 18-19 Assessment. Time to finish 13A_B
13A_B) Complete and submit pg. 476-479 / 1, 3, 6, 7, 9, 12, 25 (due 2/16)

02/14,15 Day 13) Review Day 12 Notes pages 1 and 2 to introduce hypothesis testing.
13A Assignment 13
A) Complete and submit the class notes pages 1 and 2
B) Complete and submit pg. 476-479 / 1, 3, 6, 7, 9, 12, 25 (due 2/16)
C) Read chapter 20 and Fill in the Inference Guide
Conclusions for Hypothesis Tests should be 2 sentences:
1st - P-value is __high / low__ therefore we __fail to reject / reject__ the null hypothesis.
2nd - There __isn't / is __ evidence ___(...in context of alternative hypothesis)___.
*Remember: If you're HIGH, Then you FAIL

02/10,11 Day 12) Part 2 of the Ch. 18-19 Assessment.
12A Assignment 12 (by 2/21 11pm)
A) Complete the Edpuzzle
B) Complete the Day 12 notes by 2/21 11pm.
C) Begin reading chapter 20 if you want to get ahead.

02/07,08 Day 11) Review for Quiz on Chapters 18 (19) Wed (Th/Fri).
11A Assignment 11
A) Complete the Edpuzzle
B) page 455-458 / 8, 15, 20, 26, 33, 35.
C) Study for the quiz on Ch. 18-19, review your notes, homework, book, and Kahoot Review.

Enrichment: From early 2020 - Using available data to try and make good decisions: Two non peer-reviewed papers create confidence intervals for the R0 of 2019-nCoV:
1) We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (RR0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6 and 4.0)
2) The resulting mean of R estimates is 4.08, as expected, with SD=0.36 (95% CI 3.37~4.77).

02/03,04 Day 10) Certainty vs. precision. Calculating the n required for ME=? and ? Confidence Level. Notation Review Game.
10A Assignment 10
A) Complete and submit Day 10 notes.
B) page 455-458 / 6, 27, 30.
C) finish reading Ch. 19

02/02 Day 9W) Real world applications - creating confidence intervals to help make good decisions.
9A Assignment 9
A) Complete the 2 problems on the Day 9W notes.
B) Finish 9A_B Book problems.

01/31,02/01 Day 9) Learn how to create a "p-trap" Otherwise known as a confidence interval.
Calculating critical values for various levels of confidence. Inference guide.
9A Assignment 9
A) Complete and submit Day 9 notes.
B) page 455-458 / 2, 3, 5, 13, 17, 19 (hints: 17a show all steps (see inference guide), 19 check A/C and find a reason to stop!)
10D One Lonely Phat in Search of P
p-trap

01/27,28 Day 8) More CLT, know pg. 429! The law of diminishing returns.
8A Assignment 8
A) Complete and submit Day 8 notes.
B) page Pg. 432-438 / 40, 42, 43, 45, 54.
Be sure to memorize the Assumptions and Conditions for using a Normal Model as the SDM for proportions and means. A hint for porportions:
Indep., Radomdomization, 10%, Sample Size, Success/Failure.
I Ran 10 Same Size Successful Firms "I ran 10 same size successful firms"

01/26 Day 7W) Review Test on Ch. 16-17. Continue transitioning from binomials to proportionsand the Central Limit Theorem.
7W Assignment 7W
finish A7_B) Pg. 432-438 / 16, 26, 27, 28, 33, 37.

01/24,25 Day 7) Transitioning from binomials to proportions. Sampling distribution models. Transitioning from sums to means. Computer simulations - discovering the Central Limit Theorem.
7A Assignment 7
A) Watch the video, complete, and submit pages 1-3 of the Day 7 notes.
due Wed night B) Pg. 432-438 / 16, 26, 27, 28, 33, 37.
Dice App, Central Limit Theorem App

01/20,21 Day 6) Quest on Chapters 16 and 17. Begin Ch 18
6A Assignment 6
A) Watch the video and complete the class notes, then upload

01/18,19 Day 5) Review for Test next class on Chapters 16 and 17.
5A Assignment 5
A) Study for the Quest next class on Chapters 16 and 17
B) on separate paper complete and upload pg. 405-410 / 3, 4, 12, 20, 28.
5A_B KEY - check your work in preparation for the Test.

01/13,14 Day 4) Learn to use your calculator for Geometric and Binomial probability models. Assumptions and conditions. Determine when we can approximate the Binomial probability model with the Normal model. Check out the binomial distribution applets: Binomial Distribution -Berkeley How to win at gambling!
4A Assignment 3 of 2nd Semester:
A) upload a pdf of your completed class notes for today.
B) on separate paper complete and upload 1) pg. 401-404 / 18, 20, 22, 31, 34. (you can use your calculator but you must show your work)
C) Finish reading Ch.17
Roulette P(winning) 100 vs 1000 plays!
As the number of plays increases the variability _____ and the gambler's chance of leaving without loosing ______ . The way you win at gambling is to be the house. The only rational way to enter a casino is with the mindset, "I am willing to lose $X to purchase entertainment."

01/12 Day 3W) Geometric and Binomial probability models continued.
3W Assignment 3 of 2nd Semester:
complete 3A_B including two new problems 15, 17, then upload.
3A_B) pg. 385 / 38, 40 and pg. 401-402 / 1, 2, 9, 11, 15, 17.

01/10,11 Day 3) Property insurance. Present your game of chance. Geometric and Binomial probability models.
3A Assignment 3 of 2nd Semester:
A) upload a pdf of your completed class notes for today.
B) on separate paper complete (we will upload on Wed.) pg. 385 / 38, 40 and pg. 401-402 / 1, 2, 9, 11.
C) Read Ch.17
FYI: The importance of Independence:
The Camp Fire

Credit Default Swaps - 60 Minutes
Read about attempts to claw back bonuses based on illusory models.
More from Reuters , the Economist.
Permutations Combinations Review
Proof of the 10% Condition

01/06,07 Day 2) Probability Histograms. Random variables and insurance basics. The Pythagorean Theorem of Statistics. Continuous random variables.
2A Assignment 2 of 2nd Semester:
A) upload a pdf of your completed class notes for today.
B) on separate paper complete and upload pg. 383-386 / 27, 29, 35, 37
C) Finish read Ch.16 and finish designing your own game of chance (follow the instructions Day 1)

Enrichment: Proof of Sum of 2 Indep. Normal Random Variables is Normal

01/05 Day 1W) Random Variables continued.
1W_A)
 on separate paper complete and upload pg. 383-384 / 1, 3, 5, 16, 18, 21 (show all steps for #1, others show the model/table then calculator is OK)
B) Read Ch.16 and begin designing your own game of chance (follow the instructions)

01/03,04 Day 1) Random Variables. Greedy Pig round 1. Games of Chance.
1A
 Assignment 1 of 2nd Semester:
A) upload a pdf of your completed page 1 notes for today.
Begin work on assignment 1W_A (due Wednesday night) and come up with ideas for your Game of Chance.
1W_A)
B) on separate paper complete and upload pg. 383-384 / 1, 3, 5, 16, 18, 21 (show all steps for #1, others show the model/table then calculator is OK)
C) Read Ch.16 and begin designing your own game of chance (follow the instructions)

 

12/08 Day 31W) Quiz on Chapters 14-15.

12/06,07 Day 31) Review for Ch. 14 & 15 test (quest)
A31:
A) Complete the Edpuzzle
B) pg. 405-410 / 1, 2, 37, 40, 41, 42
C) Study for test on Ch. 14 & 15, optional - complete the Kahoot.

12/02,03 Day 30) Disjoint and independence with conditional probability. Tree diagrams. Reversing the conditioning, Screening Tests,
A30:
A) Submit the completed class notes for Day 30.
B) Pg. 364-365 / [1, 21, 30 make Venn Diagrams], 31, [38, 40, 41, 46 make tree diagrams]
C) Finish reading Ch. 15

12/01 Day 29W) Review A29_B, Birthday Problem, Begin notes for Day 30.
Classwork 13W:
A) complete the Birthday Problem.

11/29,30 Day 29) Discover the General Addition Rule and conditional probability leading to General Multiplication Rule.
A29:
A) Upload the completed class notes for Day 29
B) Pg. 361-365 / Using Venn Diagrams when possible 2,4,5,6,10,14,15,19. (Make Venn                    Diagrams for 2,4,19)
C) Read Ch.15 up to page 352.

11/22-24 Day 28) Chapter 14 From Randomness to Probability. Challenger Space Shuttle - redundancy is not a replacement for independence.
A28:
1) Watch the Edpuzzle and submit the completed class notes
2) pg. 338-341 / 3,4,5,6,7,19,21,23,25,27,35,36. (probability answers in decimals not %s)
3) Read Ch. 14 and review the Step By Step example.

11/18,19 Day 27) Test on Ch.11,12,13
A27:
A) None

11/17 Day 26W) Review for the test on Ch. 11,12,13 this Th/Fri
26W:
Finish 26A_B) Pg. 317-322 / 1,2,3,4,16,17,18,19 (simulation w/10 trials each w/5 games),
                            ..................22,25,31,33
B) Complete the crossword puzzle.
C) Study for the test on Ch. 11,12,13 this Th/Fri

11/15,16 Day 26) Review for Test this Th/Fri on Chapters 11-13. Review experimental design: Polio vaccines and keeping deer of highways.
26A:
A) Complete and submit Keeping Deer Off Highways.
B) Pg. 317-322 / 1,2,3,4,16,17,18,19 (simulation w/10 trials each w/5 games), 22,25,31,33 (time to finish these last 4 problems in class on Wed.)
C) Study for the test on Ch. 11,12,13 this Th/Fri
FYI: Compare and contrast polio from 70 years ago with COVID-19 today
The Biggest Public Health Experiment Ever: The 1954 Field Trial of the Salk Vaccine
6 Month Safety and Efficacy of the Pfizer Vaccine

11/10 Day 25W) Review experimental design, fish tank problem. Infromed consent in medical experiments. Review Ch. 11,12 Quiz.
25W finish 25A_B:
B) Pg. 312-315 / 11,16,17,18, 34, 35.
C) Finish Reading Ch. 13 and begin studing for Ch. 11-13 Test 11/18,19.
FYI: Informed Consent
https://www.fda.gov/patients/clinical-trials-what-patients-need-know/informed-consent-clinical-trials and https://www.fda.gov/media/88915/download
Informed Consent - It's Your Right

11/08,09 Day 25) Lurking vs Counfounding. Experimental Design Ethics.
A25:
A) Submit the class notes for pages 1 & 2 by the end of class.
B) Pg. 312-315 / 11,16,17,18, 34, 35.
C) Finish Reading Ch. 13
FYI - Other interesting links:
The Tuskegee Experiment: Summary, Government Apology, CDC, Tuskegee Univ., Tuskegee Univ., Photos
a) When did it begin and what disease was the Tuskegee experiment tying to learn more about?
b) What aspects of experimental design were employed in the Tuskegee experiment?
c) What aspects were omitted?
d) When did the Tuskegee experiment become unethical?
e) When and why was it ended?
f) How did Tuskegee change research practices?
More interesting links:
Standford cancer breakthrough using mice
Parkinson’s Study – Active Placebo, holes drilled in head.
The Ethics of Placebo Controlled Trials
Ethical, Scientific, and Regulatory Perspectives Regarding the Use of Placebos in Cancer Clinical Trials
Nonconsensual Medical Experiments on Human Beings

11/04,05 Day 24) Chapter 13 Experiments. Retro-Observational study is like detective work.
24A:
A)
Pg. 312-315 / 7,8,10,12,29,32,33,36 (33b & 36d- Sketch the experimental design).
FYI:
Ribavirin scandal inappropriate treatment assignment from the Edpuzzle.

11/03 Day 23W) Continue Chapter 13 Observational Studies and Experiments.
23W Classwork:
A) Complete the Edpuzzle and submit the class notes for 23W page 1 by the end of class.

11/01,02 Day 23) Quiz on Chapters 11 & 12. 
Begin Chapter 13 Observational Studies and Experiments.
23A:
A)
Complete the Edpuzzle and submit the class notes.
Babies smoking Babies not smoking

10/28,29 Day 22) Review response bias (induced bias due to question wording or interviewer influence). Review all biases. Review Sampling Strategies - explained with Random Rectangles.
A22: Input your random Rectangle Part 3 Data Use these boxplots if you didn't finish in class.
A) Submit Random Rectangles Part 3 pages 1,2, and 4.
B) Pg. 288-291 / 10,17,19,27,32,35.
C) Prepare for quiz Mon/Tue on Chapters 11 & 12. Know your vocab and make sure you know how to conduct a simulation (Who's your buddy?, Biases I hope to . . .).

10/27 Day 21W) Review short answer / MC from Ch. 7-9 Test.
Review study design - Sample Surveys and Bias. Sampling Strategies.
A21W:
A) Pg. 288-291 / 7, 8, 20, 22, 23, 25, 26.

10/25,26 Day 21) Begin study design - Sample Surveys and Bias. Sampling Strategies.
A21: Use Edpuzzle 1 and 2 in Schoology to complete class notes pages 1 and 2.
A) submit the class notes pages 1, 2, and the random rectangle analysis.
B) Get a head start on A21W classwork Pg. 288-291 / 7, 8, 20, 22, 23, 25, 26.
C) Read Chapter 12.
Biases I hope to N V R C U.
Fatal Bias

10/21,22 Day 20) Introduction to Randomness.  
Random Rectangles and Simulation using randint( ).
A20:
A) Turn in the completed class notes pages 1-3 as a 1 file pdf.
Input your Random Rectangles answers into the GoogleForm using your FUHSD account:
B) Pg. 265-267 / 1, 2, 4, 11, 13, 15, 19, 25, 34 ( 19 & 25 use Pg. A-73 Appendix G for a list of random numbers, 34 use Randint(1,6,2) for rolling two dice.  For all 3 be sure to define SCOTR for each then do 15 trails for each.)
C) Read Chapter 11
FYI: Check out www.random.org for more info about random numbers.
Random number generators. Random numbers with your calculator. True random vs. pseudorandom numbers Also Using radioactive material to generate random numbers.

10/20 Day 19W) What is Ch. 10 about? Intro to Randomness.
A19W:
Classwork:  Turn in a pdf of your class notes to Schoology
FYI: Interesting boxplots incorporating data - UC Viral Load Study
Dual Scatterplot, extrapolation in the title!, How confident?, Vit. D corr. with Covid mortality
10/18,19 Day 19) Test on Chapters 7-9. 10/14,15, Day 18)  Review for test next class on Ch. 7-9
18A:
A) Turn in your review of your partner's Long Jump Investigation
B) Pg. 243-244 / 30 and pg. 245-252 /1, 8, 9, 24, 26, 27, 30, 31
C) Study for the test next class on Ch. 7-9

10/13 Day 17W)  Real World Example, Review for Next Week's test on Chapters 7-9.
17W_A) Turn in your work on the Long Jump problem by the end of class.

10/11,12, Day 17)  What can go wrong with regression continued - changes in pattern and means (or other summaries) rather than actual data.
17A:
A) Turn in the completed class notes – pages 1 and 2.
B) Front – do the Olympic Long Jump Example
      Back - Pg. 214-221 / 1, 6, 29.
FYI: Climate Change, you now have tools to help critically evaluate all sides of the issue.
USGCRP Indicators Heat Wave Overlay Suspicious Observers If you ignore the datahttps://data.globalchange.gov/indicator?current=1,
https://www.globalchange.gov/browse/indicators/us-heat-waves,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tul07hx8V8w Could the sun be the major contributor?
FYI: David Quig, PhD - IAOMT presentation: mercury derived from amalgam fillings
(minutes 8:55 - 20:00 pertain to the investigation we did in class.)
Amalgams and Fecal Mercury
Also of interest the Detrending of the Buffet Indicator in this article.

10/07,08 Day 16) What can go wrong with regression (continued). Using linear regression to investigate the FL 2000 U.S. Presedential Election and the infamous butterfly ballot.
16A:

A) during class submit pages 1 and 2 of the class notes.
B) Pg. 214-221 / 11, 13, 14, 25, 27, 15.

10/06 Day 15W) What can go wrong with regression.
Learn how leverage and residual produce three flavors of outliers. Evaluate real life examples of linear regression and outliers (Gun violence paper 1 & 2 and Covid outbreaks). 
Classwork 15W: Complete page 1 of the Day 16 notes in class. 
FYI: mix your own flavor of outlier with the Correlation Regression Demo (be sure to click on the mean-mean line and regression line).
Outlier Flowchart

10/04,05 Day 15) Quiz on Correlation and Regression Ch. 7 & 8
15A: (after the quiz)
A) complete the handout activity - The Wayward Point
Enrichment: Use your knowledge of linear regression to evaluate the paper (and supplement) out of the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies that finds, "At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1)."

09/30, 10/01 Day 14) Clarify the role of R^2, visual, proof challenge. Check out this R^2 Animation (I made this to animate the information in the blue box on page 183 of our book). Discuss the success of the model vs. the appropriateness of the model. Learn to utilize residual plots. Learn to do it on your calculator.
We can calculate the mean of skewed data, but is it appropriate?
We can calculate the R^2 of non-linear associations, but is it appropriate?

Answering - How Confident are you in your prediction?
14A:
A) Turn in the completed class notes – pages 1 and 2.
B) Complete the problems pg.192-199 / 8,11,27,29,31,54.
C) Study for the quiz on chapters 7 and 8 next class (Days 12-14)
R Squared Visual

09/29 Day 13W) Review Answers to Test Ch 1-6
Classwork 13W: finish A13_B

09/27,28 Day 13) How can we use the correlation coefficient to estimate the y value for a given x value?  How to write the equation for the line of best fit and other interesting discoveries from doing a BIG proof.
13A:
A) Turn in the completed class notes including problems 1,3,5,7 we did on page 3.
B) Complete the problems pg.192-199 / 14,15,17,19,21,37,42.
C)  Read Ch. 8

09/23,24 Day 12) Discover a numerical summary for the strength of the association between two quantitative variables (the spread of points about the form). Be able to calculate correlation coefficients on your calculator.
12A:
A) Turn in the completed class notes.
B) Complete the problems 164-170 / 1, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 20, 23, 24, 25, 29, 34, 35, 38.
C)  Read Ch. 7
FYI: Four Square Multiple Choice _ Plot your own points
Causation?
Screen time might boost depression, suicide behaviors in teens .
Lurking Variable

09/22 Day 11W) Introduction to Part 2
Classwork 11W: finish and submit the handout (available in Schoology)

09/20,21 Day 11) Big Test on everything so far this year - Chapters 1-6.  
11A - Assignment 11:
A) None.  Have a nice weekend.

09/16,17 Day 10) Review for Big Test next class.
10A:
A) pg. 135-143 / 10, 20, 33, 36, 38. 5, 8 (draw the entire normal model), 14, 25, 27
B) Review for Big Test next class. Review your class notes and assignments from Days 1-10, Chapters 1-6 of your book, as well as the Key Concepts.

09/15 Day 9W) small Ch. 6 check for understanding quiz.
Classwork 9W: Get a head start on the Day 10 review problems

9/13,14 Day 9) Normal Probability Plot. Drawing Normal Models and the Empirical Rule.
Ch. 6 Quiz on Wednesday.
9A - Assignment 9:
A) Complete the class notes.
B) pg. 131-133 / 25, 26 (25,26 draw the entire model), 31, 32, 44 (draw individual curves and show z score calculations).
C) Read Ch.6 to prepare for a small quiz on Ch. 6 Wednesday.
FYI: In 1733 Abraham de Moivre, drawing on the work of Jacob and Nicolaus Bernoulli, calculus, and the underlying structure of Pascal's Triangle, demonstrated how a set of random drawings would distribute themselves around their average value. De Moivre's distribution is know today as a normal curve. It makes it possible to evaluate the probability that a given number of observations will fall within some specified bound around a true ratio.

09/09,10 Day 8) Journey to Mathmagic Land to discover the power of the Normal Model. Know the cereal example pages 121-123.
8A - Assignment 8:
A) Complete and submit the class notes.
B) p.129-133 / 7, 9, 10, 38, 40, 45 (draw Normal curves for each part of 38,40,45)
Remember N(100, 16) means the mean = 100 and standard deviation = 16 for your z-score calculations.
C) Read pages 116-123.
D) Begin preparing for 1st big test a week from Friday (Chapters 1-6).
Z scores to Percents

9/07,08 Day 7) Quiz Chapters 4 and 5. You can compare apples n oranges!
If you use the standard deviation as a ruler.
Begin Ch. 6 Measuring with Standard Deviations. Z-score practice.
7A - Assignment 7:
A) Complete and submit the class notes.
B) p.129-130 / 3, 6, 11, 12, 16, 18, 22.
C) Read pages 104-111.
FYI: Check out the official decathlon scoring tables and the theory behind them.
Who is the taller person

09/02,03 Day 6) Investigate a measure of spread to complement the mean.
Decide when to use which measure of center and spread.  Calculators are for calculating aren't they? Learn to find all or our summary statistics with the calculator! Review for Quiz next class (Primarily on Chapters 4 and 5).
6A - Assignment 6:
Warm UP – Edpuzzle – Standard Deviation Theory
A) Finish reading Chapters 4 and 5 (you can skip Re-expressing data 89-91)
B) pages 75-78 / 48,50 (no reports, just write a few sentences) pages 95-100 / #7, 28, 30.
C) Complete the Decathlon Investigation handout – both sides
D) Review for Tue/Wed Quiz. Study your class notes (concepts/vocab), assignments, and review Chapters 4 and 5 of our book (you can ignore Re-expressing Data pgs 89-91). The quiz will focus primarily on displaying quantitative data and describing distributions numerically but everything covered so far is fair game.
TI89 Users: When manipulating lists (ex L1-12 STO L2) do it outside the list editor.
for newer TI84 users: If your 1-Var Stats input asks for Frequency and you want it to be 1. Then just hit clear and enter.
FYI: Advantages of the mean deviation and standard deviation proof.
For those interested: Why divide by n-1

09/01 Wed. Day 5Wed) Learn how to compare distributions of quantitative data.
In Class Assignment:
Make corrections to A5_B,
Complete the inclass problems,
Complete the Exit Ticket Vocabulary Review. 

08/30,31  Day 5)  Figure out how to describe the distribution of quantitative data numerically. Be able to calculate 5-number summaries and create boxplots. What can a time plot tell you that a histogram cannot? Investigate the El Nino Southern Oscillation. 
5A - Assignment 5:
A) complete and submit pages 1 and 2 of the class notes 
B) handwritten on a separate piece of paper complete the following 3 parts:
1. Complete the penny problem from class.
2. Think of and list 3 time series that exhibit seasonal 
          variation. Be sure to describe the cause (or potential
          cause) of the seasonal variation.
3. Pg. 72-76 / 6, 8, 10, 42, Pg. 101-102 / 36

C) Join our AP Section on your College Board Account

08/26,27 Day 4) Quiz on Part I Chapters 1,2,3.  Then continue to investigate ways of displaying quantitative data. The nuances of creating stem-and-leaf displays. Histograms with the calculator and the importance of proper bar width. 
Assignment 4: Handouts and Submissions for parts A, B, and C through Schoology
Read your book up to page 52.
A) complete the Edpuzzle
B) complete and submit the class notes
C) complete and submit Pg. 72-75 / 5, 7, 9, 32 

08/25 Wed. Day 3Wed) Review of Six Month Safety and Efficacy and
prepare for Chapter 1-3 Quiz on Th/Fri.
Assignment 3W:
Study for quiz on Chapters 1-3 Th/Fri
  1) Read you book chapters 1-3.
  2) Review the Think, Show, Tell format in the Step-By-Step Example pg. 31-32.
  3) study your class notes and vocabulary
  4) review your assignments

08/23,24 Mon/Tue Day 3) Review segmented bar charts to determine independence/association
 of two categorical variables, evaluate the Investigative Task, explore Simpson's Paradox,
and review for quiz Th/Fri.
Assignment 3:
Warm Up - Edpuzzle Review of Chapter 3
A) (in class) Submit completed rubric review of your partner's 6 Month Safety and Efficacy in Schoology.
B) (in class) Watch the Edpuzzle instructions on how to self-assess assignments. Then self-assess 2A_B Smoking and Education in Schoology.
C) Do pg. 37-43 / problems 15, 16, 22, 36, 39. (they are due by midnight)
D) Study for quiz on Chapters 1-3 Th/Fri
    1) Read you book chapters 1-3.
    2) Review the Think, Show, Tell format in the Step-By-Step Example pg. 31-32.
    3) study your class notes and vocabulary
    4) review your assignments

08/19,20 Th/Fri Day 2Displaying and Describing Categorical Data, Take a trip on the Titanic. Contingency and Conditional Distribution, Independence.
2A Assignment 2: Submit parts A, B, and C through Schoology
A) Finish the 3 pages of the class notes.
B) Assignment 3 handout (Smoking and Education) (see Ch. 3 example problems for hints)
C) Complete the investigative task 6 Month Safety and Efficacy on a separate paper. (handouts available in Schoology)
D) Read Ch. 1-3 of your book in preparation for quiz next Th/Fri.

08/17,18 Tue/Wed Day  1) Why AP Statistics? What to expect from the course and your teacher.  Get a taste of statistics being utilized in a real-world setting. Discuss AP Test expectations. Learn to describe data in its context. Investigate types of variables.
Assignment 1:
A) Complete the Green Sheet and AP Statistics Course and Exam Guide scavenger hunt in Schoology.
B) complete both sides of the class notes, including the problems on page 2 if you didn't finish during classtime. Then upload a multipage pdf of pages 1 and 2 of the notes.
Consider:  Genius Scan, Cam Scanner, etc.
C) Read Chapters 1 and 2 of your book.  If you don’t have a book, a digital copy is available in Schoology.

08/16 Mon. Day 0 Introduction to AP Statistics (45 min. class)
Organization of course resources, class structure, resources.
0A - Assignment 0: also osted in Schoology with links
A) Discover The Joy of Stats, complete the Edpuzzle in the Day 0 folder.
B) Begin reading Chapters 1 and 2.

 



 

AP Statistics Assignments